Addus HomeCare's (NASDAQ:ADUS) Solid Profits Have Weak Fundamentals

Simply Wall St.
03-03

Last week's profit announcement from Addus HomeCare Corporation (NASDAQ:ADUS) was underwhelming for investors, despite headline numbers being robust. We did some digging and found some worrying underlying problems.

Check out our latest analysis for Addus HomeCare

NasdaqGS:ADUS Earnings and Revenue History March 3rd 2025

To understand the value of a company's earnings growth, it is imperative to consider any dilution of shareholders' interests. Addus HomeCare expanded the number of shares on issue by 12% over the last year. That means its earnings are split among a greater number of shares. Per share metrics like EPS help us understand how much actual shareholders are benefitting from the company's profits, while the net income level gives us a better view of the company's absolute size. Check out Addus HomeCare's historical EPS growth by clicking on this link.

How Is Dilution Impacting Addus HomeCare's Earnings Per Share (EPS)?

As you can see above, Addus HomeCare has been growing its net income over the last few years, with an annualized gain of 63% over three years. In comparison, earnings per share only gained 48% over the same period. And in the last year the company managed to bump profit up by 18%. On the other hand, earnings per share are only up 8.4% in that time. Therefore, the dilution is having a noteworthy influence on shareholder returns.

Changes in the share price do tend to reflect changes in earnings per share, in the long run. So Addus HomeCare shareholders will want to see that EPS figure continue to increase. But on the other hand, we'd be far less excited to learn profit (but not EPS) was improving. For the ordinary retail shareholder, EPS is a great measure to check your hypothetical "share" of the company's profit.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On Addus HomeCare's Profit Performance

Each Addus HomeCare share now gets a meaningfully smaller slice of its overall profit, due to dilution of existing shareholders. Therefore, it seems possible to us that Addus HomeCare's true underlying earnings power is actually less than its statutory profit. But at least holders can take some solace from the 48% per annum growth in EPS for the last three. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. While it's really important to consider how well a company's statutory earnings represent its true earnings power, it's also worth taking a look at what analysts are forecasting for the future. Luckily, you can check out what analysts are forecasting by clicking here.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Addus HomeCare's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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