Hyatt Hotels Corporation (NYSE:H) received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the NYSE over the last few months, increasing to US$166 at one point, and dropping to the lows of US$137. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Hyatt Hotels' current trading price of US$137 reflective of the actual value of the large-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Hyatt Hotels’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.
Check out our latest analysis for Hyatt Hotels
According to our valuation model, Hyatt Hotels seems to be fairly priced at around 11% below our intrinsic value, which means if you buy Hyatt Hotels today, you’d be paying a fair price for it. And if you believe that the stock is really worth $154.07, then there’s not much of an upside to gain from mispricing. Although, there may be an opportunity to buy in the future. This is because Hyatt Hotels’s beta (a measure of share price volatility) is high, meaning its price movements will be exaggerated relative to the rest of the market. If the market is bearish, the company’s shares will likely fall by more than the rest of the market, providing a prime buying opportunity.
Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. However, with an extremely negative double-digit change in profit expected over the next couple of years, near-term growth is certainly not a driver of a buy decision. It seems like high uncertainty is on the cards for Hyatt Hotels, at least in the near future.
Are you a shareholder? H seems fairly priced right now, but given the uncertainty from negative returns in the future, this could be the right time to reduce the risk in your portfolio. Is your current exposure to the stock beneficial for your total portfolio? And is the opportunity cost of holding a negative-outlook stock too high? Before you make a decision on the stock, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on H for a while, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. The price seems to be trading at fair value, which means there’s less benefit from mispricing. In addition to this, the negative growth outlook increases the risk of holding the stock. However, there are also other important factors we haven’t considered today, which can help crystalize your views on H should the price fluctuate below its true value.
If you want to dive deeper into Hyatt Hotels, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. For example, we've found that Hyatt Hotels has 3 warning signs (2 are significant!) that deserve your attention before going any further with your analysis.
If you are no longer interested in Hyatt Hotels, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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