Investors were disappointed with Vital Farms, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:VITL) earnings, despite the strong profit numbers. We think that the market might be paying attention to some underlying factors that they find to be concerning.
Check out our latest analysis for Vital Farms
In order to understand the potential for per share returns, it is essential to consider how much a company is diluting shareholders. Vital Farms expanded the number of shares on issue by 6.4% over the last year. As a result, its net income is now split between a greater number of shares. To talk about net income, without noticing earnings per share, is to be distracted by the big numbers while ignoring the smaller numbers that talk to per share value. You can see a chart of Vital Farms' EPS by clicking here.
Vital Farms has improved its profit over the last three years, with an annualized gain of 2,259% in that time. In comparison, earnings per share only gained 2,103% over the same period. And the 110% profit boost in the last year certainly seems impressive at first glance. But in comparison, EPS only increased by 102% over the same period. Therefore, the dilution is having a noteworthy influence on shareholder returns.
In the long term, earnings per share growth should beget share price growth. So it will certainly be a positive for shareholders if Vital Farms can grow EPS persistently. But on the other hand, we'd be far less excited to learn profit (but not EPS) was improving. For the ordinary retail shareholder, EPS is a great measure to check your hypothetical "share" of the company's profit.
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
Each Vital Farms share now gets a meaningfully smaller slice of its overall profit, due to dilution of existing shareholders. Because of this, we think that it may be that Vital Farms' statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. But on the bright side, its earnings per share have grown at an extremely impressive rate over the last three years. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. While it's really important to consider how well a company's statutory earnings represent its true earnings power, it's also worth taking a look at what analysts are forecasting for the future. Luckily, you can check out what analysts are forecasting by clicking here.
This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Vital Farms' profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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