Vection Technologies Limited (ASX:VR1) shares have had a horrible month, losing 29% after a relatively good period beforehand. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 19% in that time.
Since its price has dipped substantially, Vection Technologies may be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1x, since almost half of all companies in the Software industry in Australia have P/S ratios greater than 2.8x and even P/S higher than 7x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Check out our latest analysis for Vection Technologies
Vection Technologies has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think this respectable revenue growth might actually underperform the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Vection Technologies will help you shine a light on its historical performance.The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Vection Technologies' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 20% gain to the company's top line. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 197% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
When compared to the industry's one-year growth forecast of 22%, the most recent medium-term revenue trajectory is noticeably more alluring
In light of this, it's peculiar that Vection Technologies' P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.
The southerly movements of Vection Technologies' shares means its P/S is now sitting at a pretty low level. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Our examination of Vection Technologies revealed its three-year revenue trends aren't boosting its P/S anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current industry expectations. When we see strong revenue with faster-than-industry growth, we assume there are some significant underlying risks to the company's ability to make money which is applying downwards pressure on the P/S ratio. It appears many are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions would normally provide a boost to the share price.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 5 warning signs for Vection Technologies (3 make us uncomfortable!) that we have uncovered.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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