If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. However, after investigating Jiumaojiu International Holdings (HKG:9922), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on Jiumaojiu International Holdings is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.10 = CN¥503m ÷ (CN¥6.5b - CN¥1.5b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).
So, Jiumaojiu International Holdings has an ROCE of 10.0%. In absolute terms, that's a low return, but it's much better than the Hospitality industry average of 7.1%.
See our latest analysis for Jiumaojiu International Holdings
In the above chart we have measured Jiumaojiu International Holdings' prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free analyst report for Jiumaojiu International Holdings .
On the surface, the trend of ROCE at Jiumaojiu International Holdings doesn't inspire confidence. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 33% over the last five years. Although, given both revenue and the amount of assets employed in the business have increased, it could suggest the company is investing in growth, and the extra capital has led to a short-term reduction in ROCE. If these investments prove successful, this can bode very well for long term stock performance.
On a side note, Jiumaojiu International Holdings has done well to pay down its current liabilities to 23% of total assets. That could partly explain why the ROCE has dropped. What's more, this can reduce some aspects of risk to the business because now the company's suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of its operations. Since the business is basically funding more of its operations with it's own money, you could argue this has made the business less efficient at generating ROCE.
In summary, despite lower returns in the short term, we're encouraged to see that Jiumaojiu International Holdings is reinvesting for growth and has higher sales as a result. However, despite the promising trends, the stock has fallen 62% over the last five years, so there might be an opportunity here for astute investors. As a result, we'd recommend researching this stock further to uncover what other fundamentals of the business can show us.
Jiumaojiu International Holdings does have some risks though, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Jiumaojiu International Holdings that you might be interested in.
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