The board of Dollar General Corporation (NYSE:DG) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 22nd of April, with investors receiving $0.59 per share. This makes the dividend yield 3.0%, which will augment investor returns quite nicely.
View our latest analysis for Dollar General
A big dividend yield for a few years doesn't mean much if it can't be sustained. Prior to this announcement, Dollar General's dividend was comfortably covered by both cash flow and earnings. This means that a large portion of its earnings are being retained to grow the business.
Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise by 38.9% over the next year. If the dividend continues on this path, the payout ratio could be 38% by next year, which we think can be pretty sustainable going forward.
Even over a long history of paying dividends, the company's distributions have been remarkably stable. Since 2015, the annual payment back then was $0.88, compared to the most recent full-year payment of $2.36. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 10% per annum over that time. Rapidly growing dividends for a long time is a very valuable feature for an income stock.
Some investors will be chomping at the bit to buy some of the company's stock based on its dividend history. However, things aren't all that rosy. It's not great to see that Dollar General's earnings per share has fallen at approximately 5.2% per year over the past five years. If earnings continue declining, the company may have to make the difficult choice of reducing the dividend or even stopping it completely - the opposite of dividend growth. It's not all bad news though, as the earnings are predicted to rise over the next 12 months - we would just be a bit cautious until this can turn into a longer term trend.
Overall, we think Dollar General is a solid choice as a dividend stock, even though the dividend wasn't raised this year. While the payments look sustainable for now, earnings have been shrinking so the dividend could come under pressure in the future. Taking all of this into consideration, the dividend looks viable moving forward, but investors should be mindful that the company has pushed the boundaries of sustainability in the past and may do so again.
Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. For example, we've picked out 2 warning signs for Dollar General that investors should know about before committing capital to this stock. Is Dollar General not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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