United Community Banks, Inc. (NYSE:UCB) will pay a dividend of $0.24 on the 4th of April. This means that the annual payment will be 3.4% of the current stock price, which is in line with the average for the industry.
View our latest analysis for United Community Banks
While it is always good to see a solid dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is feasible.
Having distributed dividends for at least 10 years, United Community Banks has a long history of paying out a part of its earnings to shareholders. Past distributions do not necessarily guarantee future ones, but United Community Banks' payout ratio of 46% is a good sign as this means that earnings decently cover dividends.
Over the next 3 years, EPS is forecast to expand by 46.4%. Analysts estimate the future payout ratio will be 37% over the same time period, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.
Even over a long history of paying dividends, the company's distributions have been remarkably stable. The dividend has gone from an annual total of $0.12 in 2015 to the most recent total annual payment of $0.96. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 23% per annum over that time. So, dividends have been growing pretty quickly, and even more impressively, they haven't experienced any notable falls during this period.
Investors who have held shares in the company for the past few years will be happy with the dividend income they have received. However, initial appearances might be deceiving. In the last five years, United Community Banks' earnings per share has shrunk at approximately 2.4% per annum. If the company is making less over time, it naturally follows that it will also have to pay out less in dividends. Earnings are forecast to grow over the next 12 months and if that happens we could still be a little bit cautious until it becomes a pattern.
Overall, a consistent dividend is a good thing, and we think that United Community Banks has the ability to continue this into the future. While the payments look sustainable for now, earnings have been shrinking so the dividend could come under pressure in the future. This looks like it could be a good dividend stock going forward, but we would note that the payout ratio has been at higher levels in the past so it could happen again.
Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. Without at least some growth in earnings per share over time, the dividend will eventually come under pressure either from competition or inflation. Businesses can change though, and we think it would make sense to see what analysts are forecasting for the company. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
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