Micron Technology Inc (MU) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Highlights: Record DRAM Revenue Amidst ...

GuruFocus.com
03-21
  • Total Revenue: $8.1 billion, down 8% sequentially, up 38% year-over-year.
  • DRAM Revenue: $6.1 billion, up 47% year-over-year, 76% of total revenue.
  • NAND Revenue: $1.9 billion, up 18% year-over-year, 23% of total revenue.
  • Gross Margin: 37.9%, down 160 basis points sequentially.
  • Operating Income: $2 billion, operating margin of 24.9%.
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $4.1 billion, EBITDA margin of 50.7%.
  • Non-GAAP EPS: $1.56, above guidance range.
  • Operating Cash Flow: Over $3.9 billion.
  • Capital Expenditures: $3.1 billion, net of government incentives.
  • Free Cash Flow: $857 million.
  • Ending Inventory: $9.0 billion or 158 days.
  • Total Debt: $14.4 billion, with a weighted average maturity of 2032.
  • Liquidity: $12.1 billion, including untapped credit facility.
  • Fiscal Q3 Revenue Guidance: $8.80 billion, plus or minus $200 million.
  • Fiscal Q3 Gross Margin Guidance: 36.5%, plus or minus 100 basis points.
  • Fiscal Q3 EPS Guidance: $1.57 per share, plus or minus $0.10.
  • Warning! GuruFocus has detected 3 Warning Sign with MU.

Release Date: March 20, 2025

For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.

Positive Points

  • Micron Technology Inc (NASDAQ:MU) achieved record revenues in data center DRAM, with HBM revenue growing more than 50% sequentially to over $1 billion.
  • The company remains the only one globally to ship low-power DRAM into the data center in high volume, showcasing its pioneering innovation.
  • Micron's 1-beta DRAM technology leads the industry, and the launch of the 1-gamma node has shown significant improvements in power, performance, and bit-density.
  • The company is making disciplined investments to capitalize on AI-driven growth opportunities, including expanding HBM capacity and constructing new facilities.
  • Micron's HBM3E delivers a 30% power reduction compared to competitors, and the company has begun volume production of HBM3E 12 high, focusing on ramping capacity and yield.

Negative Points

  • Fiscal Q2 revenue was down 8% sequentially, and the gross margin decreased due to pricing in consumer-oriented segments, especially in NAND.
  • NAND revenue decreased 17% sequentially, with prices decreasing in the high-teens percentage range.
  • The company faces challenges with NAND underutilization, which continues to weigh on gross margins.
  • Operating expenses are projected to increase by over 10% in fiscal 2025 to support high-value products, impacting profitability.
  • Micron's inventory days increased to 158 days, up from the prior quarter, indicating potential inefficiencies in inventory management.

Q & A Highlights

Q: Should we expect gross margin improvements starting in fiscal Q4 and potentially beyond? A: Mark Murphy, CFO, explained that while Q3 margins are down due to a higher mix of consumer-oriented volumes and lower pricing, conditions have improved. He anticipates gross margins to rise somewhat in Q4, driven by improved market conditions and growth in high-value products like HBM, despite ongoing NAND underutilization challenges.

Q: What is driving the increased industry bit demand outlook for DRAM in calendar 2025? A: Sanjay Mehrotra, CEO, noted that improved customer inventory levels, increased AI implementation in smartphones and PCs, and strong data center demand, particularly for HBM and high-density DIMMs, are contributing to the higher bit demand outlook.

Q: Can you provide details on the fiscal Q3 guidance, specifically the revenue growth from DRAM versus NAND? A: Mark Murphy stated that while both DRAM and NAND are expected to see bit growth, the revenue growth bias is towards DRAM due to HBM and data center exposure.

Q: How sustainable are the current industry pricing dynamics, and are recent memory price improvements driven by true demand? A: Sanjay Mehrotra highlighted that improved demand trends in smartphones and PCs, driven by AI adoption, along with tight leading-edge DRAM supply and supply actions in NAND, are creating a favorable demand/supply environment. This supports sustainable pricing improvements.

Q: How will the transition from HBM3E 8-high to 12-high impact gross margins? A: Sanjay Mehrotra explained that while HBM3E 12-high is more complex, it carries a premium over 8-high and is expected to be accretive to DRAM margins. The company is focused on ramping 12-high capacity and yield, with the majority of shipments shifting to 12-high in the second half of the calendar year.

For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.

This article first appeared on GuruFocus.

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