They are calling it the “Walz bottom.” Regardless of where you stand politically, you have to be able to appreciate the irony in this one. March 19th, Walz now famously pulled his phone out while on stage and looked up a quote on Tesla (TSLA) stock point out that it was “$225 and dropping.” Fast forward less than a week and Tesla shares are up over 20%, closing Monday, March 24, 2025 at $278.39 and rallying in after-hours.
What’s even more encouraging for long-term shareholders is the heavy volume entering the stock as well. RSI was oversold into the bottom, ticking up close to neutral now. The 200-day will come into play shortly. That level sits up at $284.69. The 50-day is another $50 higher.
Moving Averages: Bartosiak starts by examining the stock's moving averages, such as the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. He points out the significance of crossovers and divergences between these averages, which can indicate potential trend changes.
Support and Resistance Levels: Bartosiak identifies key support and resistance levels on the chart. These levels act as barriers that the stock price must breach or hold above, providing traders with critical decision points.
Chart Patterns: He discusses chart patterns like head and shoulders, cup and handle, or flags, and their relevance in predicting future price movements. These patterns can offer valuable insights into potential bullish or bearish trends.
Volume Analysis: He emphasizes the importance of volume analysis in confirming price trends. An increase in trading volume during a breakout or breakdown can validate the significance of a price move.
Dave Bartosiak's technical analysis approach adds depth to our understanding Tesla’s chart. By paying attention to moving averages, support and resistance levels, chart patterns, technical indicators, and volume, he equips investors with a comprehensive toolkit for making well-informed decisions in the stock market. Remember, while technical analysis is a valuable tool, it's important to consider other factors like fundamental analysis and market sentiment before making investment choices.
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This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com).
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