First Resources Limited's (SGX:EB5) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 8.1x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in Singapore, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 12x and even P/E's above 22x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
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Recent times have been advantageous for First Resources as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings performance might be less impressive moving forward. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
See our latest analysis for First Resources
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like First Resources' to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 70%. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 55% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should bring diminished returns, with earnings decreasing 1.5% per year as estimated by the six analysts watching the company. That's not great when the rest of the market is expected to grow by 9.4% per annum.
With this information, we are not surprised that First Resources is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/E has reached a floor yet with earnings going in reverse. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.
It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that First Resources maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast for sliding earnings, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with First Resources (at least 1 which is significant), and understanding these should be part of your investment process.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on First Resources, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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