Analysis: Bitcoin's Rebound Could Fall into a "Bull Trap," "Breakout Day" May Be the Key Catalyst

Blockbeats
03-26

BlockBeats News, March 26th, Kirill Kretov, a cryptocurrency trading expert at the automated trading platform CoinPanel, warned: "Investors need to be extra cautious in the current environment: the market is still fragile and easily manipulated. Retail participation is low, trading volume is thin, and even the so-called 'smart money' is on the sidelines. The forces truly capable of driving the market are choosing to remain neutral — and this is no coincidence."

According to CryptoQuant data, despite Bitcoin's price rising to $88,786 earlier this week, its funding rate has turned negative. This indicates that traders are unwilling to pay a premium for opening new long positions in the perpetual contract market, showing signs of a cooling leverage demand.

Augustine Fan, partner at the cryptocurrency derivatives software provider SignalPlus, stated that clarity on the market direction awaits a key policy event on April 2nd: "We expect the market's soft rebound to continue until the end of the month, with the next significant catalyst being 'Tariff Liberation Day' announcements." With the Trump administration set to announce a new round of tariff plans on that day, macro policy uncertainty could once again become the spark that disrupts the balance of the cryptocurrency market (Jinshi).

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