Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Highfield Resources Limited (ASX:HFR) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
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Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
As you can see below, at the end of December 2024, Highfield Resources had AU$47.9m of debt, up from AU$32.7m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has AU$12.0m in cash leading to net debt of about AU$35.9m.
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Highfield Resources had liabilities of AU$72.0m falling due within a year, and liabilities of AU$3.79m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of AU$12.0m and AU$39.1m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling AU$24.7m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Highfield Resources has a market capitalization of AU$85.3m, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Highfield Resources's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Check out our latest analysis for Highfield Resources
It seems likely shareholders hope that Highfield Resources can significantly advance the business plan before too long, because it doesn't have any significant revenue at the moment.
Importantly, Highfield Resources had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Its EBIT loss was a whopping AU$11m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. However, it doesn't help that it burned through AU$14m of cash over the last year. So in short it's a really risky stock. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Highfield Resources (of which 2 can't be ignored!) you should know about.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
Discover if Highfield Resources might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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