Breakfast News: Bearish Behavior

Motley Fool
04-04

Breakfast News: Bearish Behavior

April 4, 2025

Thursday's Markets
S&P 500
5,397 (-4.84%)
Nasdaq
16,551 (-5.97%)
Dow
40,546 (-3.98%)
Bitcoin
$81,785 (-4.68%)

Source: Image created by Jester AI.

1. China Bites Back

The S&P 500 lost $2.4 trillion in market value, with the small-cap Russell 2000 entering a bear market and the Nasdaq just a few hundred points off joining it, in the first full trading session following tariff announcements. Futures in all three indexes fell over 3% this morning, as China's finance ministry declared it will impose a 34% retaliatory tariff on all goods imported from the U.S., starting April 10.

  • As painful as it seems now, keep in mind yesterday does not rank in the top 20 worst one-day Nasdaq drawdowns: Amongst the largest fallers across markets were companies exposed to Vietnam, with Wayfair (W -25.73%) closing over 25% lower. Fool analyst Jason Moser reasoned "there's no question the company would be well-served to diversify its supply chain." Stock Advisor recommendation RH (RH -39.86%) fell by 40%, with 72% of products currently sourced from Asia, compounded by disappointing earnings.
  • Trump is open to "phenomenal" offers: The President indicated the tariffs provide him with great power to negotiate, with nothing off the table from here. Canadian PM Mark Carney has already confirmed his country will match the 25% car import tariff back on U.S. imports.

2. McDonald's Bucks Market Trend

McDonald's (MCD 2.17%) managed to close the day up over 2%, along with other fast food chains, as the amount of domestically sourced produce could insulate the stocks from tariff hits.

  • About 80% of key food categories imported from Mexico & Canada are USMCA compliant: The current exemption from duties that are United States/Mexico/Canada Agreement (USMCA) approved means McDonald's shouldn't take an immediate hit to products brought over the border.
  • Recession fears could boost defensive stocks: Other related companies that finished in the green yesterday include Yum! Brands (YUM 2.14%), which owns KFC, and Burger King owner Restaurant Brands International (QSR 1.30%). If consumers tighten their belts with discretionary spending, these budget chains could outperform.

3. MAG7 Falls Out of Heaven

As a collective, the Magnificent 7 lost over $1 trillion in market cap on Thursday, putting the respective MAG7 index back at the lowest level since last November. The high-growth tech sector is one of the most sensitive to shifts in investor sentiment.

  • Both 2023 Hidden Gems recs currently tracking the market: Apple (AAPL -9.11%) was the worst performer in the group, falling 9.2% albeit now the only company in the world still with a market cap in excess of $3 trillion. Concerns around higher production costs abroad was the main factor.
  • 2022 Stock Advisor rec beating the S&P 500 by 58%: Amazon (AMZN -8.89%) wasn't far behind, closing 9% lower for its biggest day decline since 2022. The closing of the de minimis trade loophole of allowing shipments in duty free if they are less than $800 will have a direct hit on Amazon products.

4. When Dividend Reinvestment Really Works

Matt Argersinger, Lead Investor on Dividend Investor

Under the Radar

Things could get much worse as yesterday's announced tariffs work their way through the global economy. Keep in mind, however, that quality divided-paying companies rarely cut or suspend their payouts in times like this. Even through the global financial crisis, the overall level of dividends paid by U.S. corporations increased. That makes dividend reinvestment especially powerful right now, automatically adding to your position in great businesses at lower prices. Turn it on!

5. Foolish Fun

What company do you have extremely strong conviction in right now, despite high levels of negative chatter in the investing community, and why? Become a member to hear what your fellow Fools are saying.

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