If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an eye out for. Firstly, we'll want to see a proven return on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding base of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. So when we looked at Hovnanian Enterprises (NYSE:HOV) and its trend of ROCE, we really liked what we saw.
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For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. To calculate this metric for Hovnanian Enterprises, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.13 = US$274m ÷ (US$2.5b - US$480m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to January 2025).
Thus, Hovnanian Enterprises has an ROCE of 13%. That's a relatively normal return on capital, and it's around the 14% generated by the Consumer Durables industry.
View our latest analysis for Hovnanian Enterprises
In the above chart we have measured Hovnanian Enterprises' prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free analyst report for Hovnanian Enterprises .
Investors would be pleased with what's happening at Hovnanian Enterprises. The numbers show that in the last five years, the returns generated on capital employed have grown considerably to 13%. Basically the business is earning more per dollar of capital invested and in addition to that, 37% more capital is being employed now too. The increasing returns on a growing amount of capital is common amongst multi-baggers and that's why we're impressed.
To sum it up, Hovnanian Enterprises has proven it can reinvest in the business and generate higher returns on that capital employed, which is terrific. And with the stock having performed exceptionally well over the last five years, these patterns are being accounted for by investors. So given the stock has proven it has promising trends, it's worth researching the company further to see if these trends are likely to persist.
On a final note, we found 3 warning signs for Hovnanian Enterprises (2 make us uncomfortable) you should be aware of.
While Hovnanian Enterprises may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.
Discover if Hovnanian Enterprises might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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