Another day, another move in the markets. From fresh ETF inflows signaling institutional appetite to derivatives data revealing where traders are placing their bets, today’s analysis offers key insights into what’s driving price action.
Let’s break down the latest trends shaping the ETF and derivatives space.
The reduced cryptocurrency market activity noted in March caused BTC spot ETFs to record a monthly outflow of $767 million. However, with broader market recovery underway, April has started well.
On April 2, spot BTC ETFs saw a positive surge in inflows, with $221 million pouring into spot Bitcoin products. Ark Invest and 21Shares’s ETF ARKB led this influx, with a daily net inflow of $130.15 million, bringing its net assets under management to $4.14 billion.
However, not all funds shared this positive trajectory, as BlackRock’s ETF IBIT experienced net outflows totaling $115.87 million.
As of this writing, Bitcoin Spot ETFs have a total net asset value of $97.35 billion, representing 5.73% of the coin’s market capitalization of $1.65 trillion.
Meanwhile, activity in the BTC derivatives market has declined, with the coin’s futures open interest plummeting 7% over the past 24 hours. At press time, per Coinglass data, this stands at $51.82 billion.
An asset’s open interest measures the total number of outstanding derivative contracts (such as futures or options) that have not been settled.
Notably, BTC’s value has dropped by 1% during the period in review, confirming the decline in trading activity. When BTC’s open interest falls alongside its value like this, it indicates that traders are closing positions rather than opening new ones, adding to the downward pressure on the coin’s price.
However, the coin’s positive funding rate offers some respite. At 0.0067% at press time, BTC’s funding rate reflects strong demand for long positions over short ones, highlighting holder resilience despite BTC’s price volatility.
This bearish bias is also reflected in the options market today, with put options exceeding call options. This suggests that traders are increasingly betting on Bitcoin’s price falling or remaining stagnant, further reinforcing negative sentiment.
A higher number of put options like this signals that market participants are preparing for a potential downside, which could contribute to BTC’s further price weakness if this sentiment persists.
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