With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 10.3x Globe Life Inc. (NYSE:GL) may be sending bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in the United States have P/E ratios greater than 18x and even P/E's higher than 32x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
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With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Globe Life has been doing relatively well. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Check out our latest analysis for Globe Life
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like Globe Life's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 17% gain to the company's bottom line. The latest three year period has also seen a 26% overall rise in EPS, aided extensively by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 11% per year as estimated by the eight analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be similar to the 11% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's peculiar that Globe Life's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Our examination of Globe Life's analyst forecasts revealed that its market-matching earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E as much as we would have predicted. When we see an average earnings outlook with market-like growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/E ratio. It appears some are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide more support to the share price.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Globe Life you should know about.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Globe Life, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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