The subdued stock price reaction suggests that Low Keng Huat (Singapore) Limited's (SGX:F1E) strong earnings didn't offer any surprises. We think that investors have missed some encouraging factors underlying the profit figures.
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In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.
As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
Over the twelve months to January 2025, Low Keng Huat (Singapore) recorded an accrual ratio of -0.15. That indicates that its free cash flow quite significantly exceeded its statutory profit. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of S$153m, well over the S$2.10m it reported in profit. Low Keng Huat (Singapore) shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months.
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Low Keng Huat (Singapore) .
As we discussed above, Low Keng Huat (Singapore) has perfectly satisfactory free cash flow relative to profit. Because of this, we think Low Keng Huat (Singapore)'s earnings potential is at least as good as it seems, and maybe even better! And one can definitely find a positive in the fact that it made a profit this year, despite losing money last year. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. Be aware that Low Keng Huat (Singapore) is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis and 2 of those make us uncomfortable...
This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Low Keng Huat (Singapore)'s profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
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