Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Liberty Energy Inc. (NYSE:LBRT) share price has dived 30% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 51% share price decline.
Even after such a large drop in price, given about half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 17x, you may still consider Liberty Energy as a highly attractive investment with its 5.7x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.
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While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, Liberty Energy's earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to get any better. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
View our latest analysis for Liberty Energy
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Liberty Energy would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 41% decrease to the company's bottom line. Unfortunately, that's brought it right back to where it started three years ago with EPS growth being virtually non-existent overall during that time. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 4.4% each year during the coming three years according to the twelve analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 11% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's understandable that Liberty Energy's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
Liberty Energy's P/E looks about as weak as its stock price lately. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that Liberty Energy maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 3 warning signs for Liberty Energy (1 is concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
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