Seanergy Maritime Holdings Corp. (NASDAQ:SHIP) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 28% share price drop in the last month. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 40% in that time.
Even after such a large drop in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Seanergy Maritime Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.6x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Shipping industry in the United States, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.7x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
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See our latest analysis for Seanergy Maritime Holdings
With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Seanergy Maritime Holdings has been doing relatively well. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this strong revenue performance might be about to tail off. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Seanergy Maritime Holdings will help you uncover what's on the horizon.Seanergy Maritime Holdings' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 52% last year. Revenue has also lifted 9.4% in aggregate from three years ago, mostly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing revenue over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the four analysts covering the company are not good at all, suggesting revenue should decline by 17% over the next year. With the rest of the industry predicted to shrink by 8.1%, it's a sub-optimal result.
With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Seanergy Maritime Holdings' P/S is similar to its industry peers. With revenue going quickly in reverse, it's not guaranteed that the P/S has found a floor yet. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.
With its share price dropping off a cliff, the P/S for Seanergy Maritime Holdings looks to be in line with the rest of the Shipping industry. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Seanergy Maritime Holdings currently trades on a higher P/S than expected based on revenue decline, even more so since its revenue forecast is even worse than the struggling industry. Even though the company's P/S is on par with the rest of the industry, the fact that it's revenue outlook is poorer than an already struggling industry suggests that the P/S isn't justified. We also have our reservations about the company's ability to sustain this level of performance amidst the challenging industry conditions. This presents a risk to investors if the P/S were to decline to a level that more accurately reflects the company's revenue prospects.
You need to take note of risks, for example - Seanergy Maritime Holdings has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is significant) we think you should know about.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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