Trending On Livewire: Weekend Edition - Saturday 12th April

LiveWire

04-12

What a week! You just saw the best aspects of markets compressed into 5 trading days. Dynamic pricing of risk plus asset price discovery in real time – the flow of capital across stocks, bonds, ...

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You just saw the best aspects of markets compressed into 5 trading days. Dynamic pricing of risk plus asset price discovery in real time – the flow of capital across stocks, bonds, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.livewiremarkets.com/wires/trending-on-livewire-weekend-edition-saturday-12th-april\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"livewire_stock","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Trending On Livewire: Weekend Edition - Saturday 12th April</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTrending On Livewire: Weekend Edition - Saturday 12th April\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-04-12 05:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.livewiremarkets.com/wires/trending-on-livewire-weekend-edition-saturday-12th-april><strong>LiveWire</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>What a week! You just saw the best aspects of markets compressed into 5 trading days. Dynamic pricing of risk plus asset price discovery in real time – the flow of capital across stocks, bonds, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.livewiremarkets.com/wires/trending-on-livewire-weekend-edition-saturday-12th-april\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"BK4091","symbol_name":"摩托车制造商","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://www.livewiremarkets.com/wires/trending-on-livewire-weekend-edition-saturday-12th-april","article_id":"2526641968","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":[],"rights":{"source":"livewire_stock","url":"https://www.livewiremarkets.com/wires/trending-on-livewire-weekend-edition-saturday-12th-april","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2526641968","pubTimestamp":1744405202,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"livewire_stock","name":"Livewire Markets"},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"You just saw the best aspects of markets compressed into 5 trading days. Dynamic pricing of risk plus asset price discovery in real time – the flow of capital across stocks, bonds, currencies, gold, and even crypto – flitting back and forth at times between the ultimate risk-free leveller, cash. I love the smell of markets in the morning!Unfortunately, we also saw some of the worst aspects of markets. How an individual could be solely responsible for setting the market’s agenda – and for disrupting the market’s core functions of risk and asset price discovery.Love him or loathe him, President Trump was right where he likes to be this week – the centre of attention.No doubt you’re aware of last week’s Liberation Day “reciprocal” tariffs – they tanked markets – and as a result, this week were put on hold. This triggered double-digit gains in major US stock indices, including the second biggest on record for the Nasdaq Composite.FYI, I’m ambivalent towards the man, or at least I was until","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"livewiremarkets.com","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"BK4091":"摩托车制造商","LVWR":"LiveWire"},"translate_title":"Livewire上的趋势：周末版–4月12日星期六","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"LVWR":1},"content_text":"What a week! You just saw the best aspects of markets compressed into 5 trading days. Dynamic pricing of risk plus asset price discovery in real time – the flow of capital across stocks, bonds, currencies, gold, and even crypto – flitting back and forth at times between the ultimate risk-free leveller, cash. I love the smell of markets in the morning!Unfortunately, we also saw some of the worst aspects of markets. How an individual could be solely responsible for setting the market’s agenda – and for disrupting the market’s core functions of risk and asset price discovery.Love him or loathe him, President Trump was right where he likes to be this week – the centre of attention.No doubt you’re aware of last week’s Liberation Day “reciprocal” tariffs – they tanked markets – and as a result, this week were put on hold. This triggered double-digit gains in major US stock indices, including the second biggest on record for the Nasdaq Composite.FYI, I’m ambivalent towards the man, or at least I was until this tweet on Wednesday:\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nSource: Truth Social\nThis is NOT how markets are supposed to work. Markets are supposed to see risks coming, understand them, and set asset prices accordingly. Some risk managers* are better than others at doing this – and therefore, by right, they deserve the superior returns they earn.As for risks, some appear and escalate quickly, for example COVID-19, and others more gradually, like the sub-prime debt crisis. I suggest they should not occur by social media!The events of this week emphasise what you already knew, this is a volatile situation because we are dealing with a volatile individual. But that doesn’t mean his policies don’t have some merit.I know entertaining this thought will upset many – it did – judging by the comments to the article I wrote this week in which I played devil’s advocate to the President’s trade policy. I contended there are several paths to several degrees of success – and no doubt any success will be seized on and claimed as a major victory.One thing that comforts me as I contemplate this week, is that not even the most powerful man in the world could escape the consequences of the market doing its job: Pricing risk. Ultimately, Wednesday’s about-face occurred because the bond market was flagging how perilous risks to the global economy (and the US’s place in it) had become.I wrote about these risks extensively in our Market Index Evening Wrap just 8 hours prior to Trump’s “Time to buy” tweet – not by luck – but by understanding the bond market is the first place all risk managers* must look to discharge their job of pricing risk.Three asterisks next to the word “risk managers”? “Investors” is the more commonly used term – and that’s YOU. Your primary goal is to manage risk. So, make sure you’re doing it!\n\nCarl Capolingua, Editor, Livewire Markets\n“We’re buying”: Emma Fisher spots a rare chance to upgrade the portfolio\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n“Are you okay?” That was the question Emma Fisher got from her mum after the ASX plunged more than 6% in a single day. For Fisher, it was a soft signal that the worst of the panic may be behind us. In this episode of The Rules of Investing, Emma shares why sharp sell-offs are the new normal, the two market “buckets” she’s buying from, and how she’s funding new ideas. Last time she was on the podcast, Emma tipped ResMed at $22. This time, she’s back with a fresh idea she’s backing for the next 5 years.\nREAD | LISTEN\nAnatomy of a crisis - and some tips from a seasoned contrarian on what to do next\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nMarkets are so rich in history that a handful of similar crises often precede any current one. This is so much so that Charles Kindleberger, author of Manias, Panics, and Crashes, adopted a framework from an economist named Hyman Minsky and built the five stages of a typical financial crisis. Greg Canavan, Editorial Director at Fat Tail Investment Research, has gone one step further and applied that framework to what is happening now. Furthermore, he gives his take on various market segments, shares what he has been buying and selling for his investors, and provides some sage advice for those watching the carnage and not sure what to do next.\nWATCH | READ\n\nTop 3 Wires this Week\nHere are the weeks top viewed or liked wires by our subscribers:\n\n\n\n\nEquities\nWhy Trump’s tariffs are sheer genius and now is the time to buy ASX shares\n\n\nView\n\n\n\n\n\n\nEquities\nThe Outlaw Stocks: The ASX names defying the sell-off and hitting 52-week highs\n\n\nView\n\n\n\n\n\n\nEquities\nTop 10 most consistent ASX ETFs for growth and income\n\n\nView\n\n\n\n\n\nOur Experts\n\nSome of the best wires from our Contributors this week\n\n\nEquities\nHow will we know it's the bottom?\n\n\nView\n\n\n\n\n\nInvestment Theme\nThe Trump Dump in shares – what does it mean for Australia and investors?\n\n\nView\n\n\n\n\n\nAsset Allocation\nWhy investors needn’t – and presently shouldn’t – own gold\n\n\nView\n\n\n\n\n\nChart of the Week: Don't try to predict the unpredictable\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nThis week's chart of the week is the product of some LinkedIn harvesting, and was published by Bernard Renaud, CFA, who is the Head of Quantitative Strategies at Broadgate Advisers. Renaud's post is replicated (in part) below.\nThree sigma? Try eight. The S&P just reminded us that markets don’t read textbooks—missing one monster day could cost your year.\nThis chart shows how extraordinary recent S&P 500 daily returns have been:\nApril 3, 2025: -4.8% (-4.1σ) → Once every ~193 years\nApril 4, 2025: -6.0% (-5.0σ) → Expected once every ~13'800 years\nApril 9, 2025: +9.5% (+7.9σ) → A staggering once every ~2.8 trillion years\nThese aren’t just rare — they’re statistically impossible under a normal distribution. Yet they happened within a single week.\nKey takeaway: If you tried to time the market and bailed during the back-to-back sell-offs on April 3–4, you likely missed one of the best single-day gains in history just days later.\nStrategy implication:Stay invested and diversified. Don’t try to predict the unpredictable\nChris Conway, Managing Editor, Livewire Markets\n\nWeekly Poll\n\nWhich ASX sector do you think is most vulnerable to Trump’s latest policy shifts?\na) Resourcesb) Financialsc) Technologyd) Consumer discretionarye) None — it's mostly noise\nVOTE NOW\n\nLAST WEEKS POLL RESULTS\nWe asked \"Trump's proposed tariffs have rattled markets — how are you adjusting your portfolio?\"\nThe poll shows 45% said they’re staying the course, 25% are buying the dip, 24% are moving to cash, 4% are going defensive, and 2% are looking overseas.\nSEE RESULTS BREAKDOWN\nHow do you rate this Weekend's Trending On Livewire?\n😡 😞 😐 🙂 😀\nAfter selecting, you'll have the option to provide more detailed feedback in our quick survey.\nGet the Weekend Edition straight to your inbox\n\nPopular and exclusive content from the week sent every Saturday morning\nSUBSCRIBE TO TRENDING ON LIVEWIRE - IT'S FREE\nOther Newsletters across our network\n\n\nTrending on Livewire Daily: Get the best of Livewire by signing up to our popular daily newsletter\n\nMarket Wraps: Concise market recaps of the ASX's most critical events 2x daily\n\nWeekly Wrap: A summary of market highlights from the week, sent each weekend\n\n\n\n\nNever miss an update\n\n    Enjoy this wire? Hit the ‘like’ button to let us know. \n    Stay up to date with my current content by \n    following me below and you’ll be notified every time I post a wire","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1,"code":"91000000","status":"200"}}}