If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an eye out for. One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. Having said that, from a first glance at Kodiak Gas Services (NYSE:KGS) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.
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Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Kodiak Gas Services:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.085 = US$348m ÷ (US$4.4b - US$319m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2024).
So, Kodiak Gas Services has an ROCE of 8.5%. On its own, that's a low figure but it's around the 9.9% average generated by the Energy Services industry.
View our latest analysis for Kodiak Gas Services
In the above chart we have measured Kodiak Gas Services' prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free analyst report for Kodiak Gas Services .
We weren't thrilled with the trend because Kodiak Gas Services' ROCE has reduced by 34% over the last four years, while the business employed 215% more capital. That being said, Kodiak Gas Services raised some capital prior to their latest results being released, so that could partly explain the increase in capital employed. The funds raised likely haven't been put to work yet so it's worth watching what happens in the future with Kodiak Gas Services' earnings and if they change as a result from the capital raise.
On a related note, Kodiak Gas Services has decreased its current liabilities to 7.2% of total assets. So we could link some of this to the decrease in ROCE. What's more, this can reduce some aspects of risk to the business because now the company's suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of its operations. Since the business is basically funding more of its operations with it's own money, you could argue this has made the business less efficient at generating ROCE.
Even though returns on capital have fallen in the short term, we find it promising that revenue and capital employed have both increased for Kodiak Gas Services. And the stock has followed suit returning a meaningful 36% to shareholders over the last year. So while the underlying trends could already be accounted for by investors, we still think this stock is worth looking into further.
Since virtually every company faces some risks, it's worth knowing what they are, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Kodiak Gas Services (of which 2 shouldn't be ignored!) that you should know about.
While Kodiak Gas Services isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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